Model-generated · Publicly graded

Free ML-Powered Sports Predictions

Machine-learning picks for MLB, NBA, NHL, and NCAAB — spread, total, and moneyline with a confidence rating. Every pick is graded against the final score and published, wins and losses alike.

3,431 picks graded in public

41,019 games in our history database

4 of 5 recent models rejected by our own gates

100% of results published — no removals

View the Full Ledger How the Model Works

←

Sunday, April 26, 2026

→

Confidence All Low (<60%) Medium (60-75%) High (>75%)

NBA 4

View all NBA picks

1:00 PM

89 93

Cleveland 15-14 (8-5)

Toronto 12-15 (8-7)

SPR TOT -4.5 O 218.5 +4.5 U 218.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -4.5 O 218.5 -185 +4.5 U 218.5 +154

Projection

SPR TOT ML +3.4 O 9.3 +250 -3.4 U 9.3 -250

San Antonio 62-20 (32-8)

Portland 42-40 (24-17)

SPR TOT -5.5 O 217.5 +5.5 U 217.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -5.5 O 217.5 -225 +5.5 U 217.5 +185

Projection

SPR TOT ML -1.7 O 215.3 -161 +1.7 U 215.3 +161

Philadelphia 45-37 (23-18)

SPR TOT -6.5 O 212.5 +6.5 U 212.5 to 210.9

Actual

SPR TOT ML -6.5 O 212.5 -230 +6.5 U 212.5 to 210.9 +190

Projection

SPR TOT ML -7.1 O 210 -252 +7.1 U 210 +252

Los Angeles 53-29 (28-13)

Houston 52-30 (30-11)

SPR TOT +3.5 O 206.5 -3.5 U 206.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +3.5 O 206.5 +136 -3.5 U 206.5 -162

Projection

SPR TOT ML +1.8 O 206.7 +100 -1.8 U 206.7 -100

MLB 14

Baltimore 13-14 (7-7)

SPR TOT +1.5 O 7.5 -1.5 U 7.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +1.5 O 7.5 +119 -1.5 U 7.5 -143

Projection

SPR TOT ML +3.8 O 9.6 +282 -3.8 U 9.6 -282

Philadelphia 9-18 (5-10)

Atlanta 19-9 (9-5)

SPR TOT +1.5 O 8 -1.5 U 8

Actual

SPR TOT ML +1.5 O 8 +179 -1.5 U 8 -219

Projection

SPR TOT ML +4.5 O 9.1 +342 -4.5 U 9.1 -342

Cincinnati 18-9 (8-6)

SPR TOT -1.5 O 9 +1.5 U 9

Actual

SPR TOT ML -1.5 O 9 -112 +1.5 U 9 -108

Projection

SPR TOT ML +4 O 8.3 +296 -4 U 8.3 -296

Minnesota 12-15 (7-6)

Tampa Bay 15-11 (7-4)

SPR TOT +1.5 O 8.5 -1.5 U 8.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +1.5 O 8.5 +119 -1.5 U 8.5 -143

Projection

SPR TOT ML +3.9 O 9.8 +287 -3.9 U 9.8 -287

SPR TOT +1.5 O 7 -1.5 U 7

Actual

SPR TOT ML +1.5 O 7 +218 -1.5 U 7 -271

Projection

SPR TOT ML +3.3 O 9.2 +246 -3.3 U 9.2 -246

NHL 4

View all NHL picks

2:00 PM

6 1

Buffalo 50-23-9 (26-10-5)

Boston 45-27-10 (29-11-1)

SPR TOT +1.5 O 5.5 -1.5 U 5.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +1.5 O 5.5 +102 -1.5 U 5.5 -122

Projection

SPR TOT ML -0.2 O 5.7 -197 +0.2 U 5.7 +197

Colorado 55-16-11 (26-9-6)

Los Angeles 35-27-20 (15-17-9)

SPR TOT -1.5 O 5.5 +1.5 U 5.5 to 4.1

Actual

SPR TOT ML -1.5 O 5.5 -180 +1.5 U 5.5 to 4.1 +150

Projection

SPR TOT ML +0.7 O 4 -182 -0.7 U 4 +182

Tampa Bay 50-26-6 (26-14-1)

Montreal 48-24-10 (24-15-2)

SPR TOT -1.5 O 5.5 +1.5 U 5.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -1.5 O 5.5 -118 +1.5 U 5.5 -102

Projection

SPR TOT ML +0.6 O 5.7 -133 -0.6 U 5.7 +133

Edmonton 41-30-11 (22-14-5)

Anaheim 43-33-6 (24-13-4)

SPR TOT -1.5 O 7.5 to 9.2 +1.5 U 7.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -1.5 O 7.5 to 9.2 -135 +1.5 U 7.5 +114

Projection

SPR TOT ML +2.1 O 9.3 +396 -2.1 U 9.3 -396

From Our Data Desk

All guides →

data analysis

Home Advantage, Measured Across 41,000 Games

We measured home win rate and margin across four sports in our history database. College basketball's home edge is enormous; MLB's is nearly zero.

our model

We Rejected 4 of Our Last 5 Models. Here's Why That's the Point

In July 2026 we tested five model candidates against strict holdout gates. Four failed. Here's the process, the numbers, and why we're publishing the losses.

data analysis

MLB Park Factors, Measured: What 1,400 Games Say About Every Ballpark

We measured run scoring in all 30 MLB parks across the 2026 season. Coors isn't even the highest — here's what actually matters for totals bettors.