Model-generated · Publicly graded
Free ML-Powered Sports Predictions
Machine-learning picks for MLB, NBA, NHL, and NCAAB — spread, total, and moneyline with a confidence rating. Every pick is graded against the final score and published, wins and losses alike.
3,443 picks graded in public
41,019 games in our history database
4 of 5 recent models rejected by our own gates
100% of results published — no removals
NCAAB 57
View all NCAAB picks → 6:00 PM
76 70
NJIT 14-12 (7-3)
New Hampshire 8-15 (7-3)
SPR TOT +2.5
O 145.5 -2.5
U 145.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +2.5
O 145.5 +124 -2.5
U 145.5 -148
Projection
SPR TOT ML -1.1 O 147.8 -115 +1.1 U 147.8 +115
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 57%
6:00 PM
78 62
UMBC 15-8 (9-2)
Maine 6-20 (4-6)
SPR TOT -3.5
O 135.5 +3.5
U 135.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -3.5
O 135.5 -185 +3.5
U 135.5 +154
Projection
SPR TOT ML -6.6 O 147.6 -234 +6.6 U 147.6 +234
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 56%
6:00 PM
69 88
Bryant 8-17 (7-4)
UMass Lowell 11-15 (7-3)
SPR TOT +4.5
O 141.5 -4.5
U 141.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +4.5
O 141.5 +180 -4.5
U 141.5 -218
Projection
SPR TOT ML +6 O 144.9 +216 -6 U 144.9 -216
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 52%
6:30 PM
84 81
N Kentucky 16-11 (11-4)
IU Indy 7-20 (5-7)
SPR TOT -5.5
O 164.5 +5.5
U 164.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -5.5
O 164.5 -245 +5.5
U 164.5 +200
Projection
SPR TOT ML -4.5 O 147.1 -179 +4.5 U 147.1 +179
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 56%
6:30 PM
73 65
Vermont 16-10 (8-3)
Binghamton 5-21 (5-7)
SPR TOT -11.5
O 136.5 +11.5
U 136.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -11.5
O 136.5 -900 +11.5
U 136.5 +600
Projection
SPR TOT ML -6.7 O 146.1 -238 +6.7 U 146.1 +238
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 54%
6:30 PM
90 87
MTSU 12-12 (8-4)
Kennesaw St 14-10 (10-2)
SPR TOT +3.5
O 148.5 -3.5
U 148.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +3.5
O 148.5 +136 -3.5
U 148.5 -162
Projection
SPR TOT ML +5.7 O 151.7 +209 -5.7 U 151.7 -209
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 63%
7:00 PM
81 76
C Connecticut 14-10 (7-3)
New Haven 10-15 (6-5)
SPR TOT -3.5
O 128.5 +3.5
U 128.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -3.5
O 128.5 -162 +3.5
U 128.5 +136
Projection
SPR TOT ML -0.8 O 149.7 -111 +0.8 U 149.7 +111
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 60%
7:00 PM
55 68
Stonehill 9-17 (6-3)
Chicago St 6-20 (4-5)
SPR TOT -2.5
O 131.5 +2.5
U 131.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -2.5
O 131.5 -130 +2.5
U 131.5 +110
Projection
SPR TOT ML +0.6 O 141.5 +108 -0.6 U 141.5 -108
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 52%
7:00 PM
64 86
Valparaiso 13-13 (10-4)
Illinois St 17-9 (11-2)
SPR TOT +8.5
O 138.5 -8.5
U 138.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +8.5
O 138.5 +360 -8.5
U 138.5 -470
Projection
SPR TOT ML +7.5 O 153.1 +263 -7.5 U 153.1 -263
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 65%
7:00 PM
74 72
Murray St 19-8 (11-2)
Indiana St 10-16 (7-6)
SPR TOT -3.5
O 163.5 +3.5
U 163.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -3.5
O 163.5 -180 +3.5
U 163.5 +150
Projection
SPR TOT ML -4.1 O 151.8 -168 +4.1 U 151.8 +168
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 63%
7:00 PM
56 81
Marist 16-9 (10-2)
Merrimack 17-9 (9-0)
SPR TOT +2.5
O 128.5 -2.5
U 128.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +2.5
O 128.5 +124 -2.5
U 128.5 -148
Projection
SPR TOT ML +4.2 O 155.9 +171 -4.2 U 155.9 -171
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 65%
7:00 PM
103 85
Winthrop 19-8 (11-1)
Gardner-Webb 3-23 (3-8)
SPR TOT -20.5
O 156.5 +20.5
U 156.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -20.5
O 156.5 -3600 +20.5
U 156.5 +1500
Projection
SPR TOT ML -10.8 O 146.4 -414 +10.8 U 146.4 +414
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 55%
7:00 PM
79 74
UNC Asheville 12-13 (7-5)
Longwood 13-14 (9-4)
SPR TOT +2.5
O 141.5 -2.5
U 141.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +2.5
O 141.5 +120 -2.5
U 141.5 -142
Projection
SPR TOT ML +3.6 O 149.2 +159 -3.6 U 149.2 -159
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 59%
7:00 PM
67 84
Presbyterian 12-14 (9-3)
Charleston So 12-14 (8-3)
SPR TOT +1.5
O 146.5 -1.5
U 146.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +1.5
O 146.5 +102 -1.5
U 146.5 -122
Projection
SPR TOT ML +3.6 O 148.4 +158 -3.6 U 148.4 -158
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 58%
7:00 PM
95 70
High Point 23-4 (15-1)
SC Upstate 11-15 (8-5)
SPR TOT -14.5
O 154.5 +14.5
U 154.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -14.5
O 154.5 -1650 +14.5
U 154.5 +950
Projection
SPR TOT ML -6.6 O 155.5 -234 +6.6 U 155.5 +234
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 65%
7:00 PM
85 68
Robert Morris 17-10 (10-3)
Cleveland St 10-16 (6-5)
SPR TOT -3.5
O 154.5 +3.5
U 154.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -3.5
O 154.5 -185 +3.5
U 154.5 +154
Projection
SPR TOT ML -2.3 O 150.3 -133 +2.3 U 150.3 +133
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 60%
7:00 PM
86 82
Youngstown St 13-13 (8-5)
Oakland 14-12 (6-3)
SPR TOT +3.5
O 155.5 -3.5
U 155.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +3.5
O 155.5 +154 -3.5
U 155.5 -185
Projection
SPR TOT ML +4.6 O 150.8 +181 -4.6 U 150.8 -181
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 61%
7:00 PM
77 74
Detroit Mercy 11-13 (5-5)
Wright St 16-10 (9-4)
SPR TOT +11.5
O 151.5 -11.5
U 151.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +11.5
O 151.5 +500 -11.5
U 151.5 -700
Projection
SPR TOT ML +7.5 O 151.5 +263 -7.5 U 151.5 -263
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 62%
7:00 PM
59 76
Purdue FW 14-12 (10-3)
Green Bay 15-12 (8-4)
SPR TOT -1.5
O 144.5 +1.5
U 144.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -1.5
O 144.5 -115 +1.5
U 144.5 -105
Projection
SPR TOT ML +4.1 O 151.9 +168 -4.1 U 151.9 -168
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 63%
7:00 PM
67 57
Long Island 17-8 (8-1)
Wagner 8-15 (6-5)
SPR TOT -6.5
O 135.5 +6.5
U 135.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -6.5
O 135.5 -290 +6.5
U 135.5 +235
Projection
SPR TOT ML -4.4 O 150.6 -176 +4.4 U 150.6 +176
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 61%
7:00 PM
57 58
Mercyhurst 12-14 (9-2)
Le Moyne 13-13 (7-3)
SPR TOT +2.5
O 138.5 -2.5
U 138.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +2.5
O 138.5 +124 -2.5
U 138.5 -148
Projection
SPR TOT ML +4.6 O 149.2 +180 -4.6 U 149.2 -180
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 59%
7:00 PM
59 66
Saint Francis 6-19 (5-5)
FDU 10-16 (8-4)
SPR TOT +7.5
O 141.5 -7.5
U 141.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +7.5
O 141.5 +280 -7.5
U 141.5 -355
Projection
SPR TOT ML +6.9 O 142.5 +245 -6.9 U 142.5 -245
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 50%
7:00 PM
57 69
Stony Brook 15-11 (10-3)
Towson 14-12 (9-3)
SPR TOT +7.5
O 135.5 -7.5
U 135.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +7.5
O 135.5 +260 -7.5
U 135.5 -325
Projection
SPR TOT ML +2.8 O 152.3 +143 -2.8 U 152.3 -143
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 63%
7:00 PM
66 62
Hofstra 17-9 (7-2)
Charleston 16-10 (10-4)
SPR TOT +1.5
O 146.5 -1.5
U 146.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +1.5
O 146.5 -110 -1.5
U 146.5 -110
Projection
SPR TOT ML +2.8 O 155.4 +144 -2.8 U 155.4 -144
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 65%
7:00 PM
93 73
Monmouth 13-12 (7-4)
Drexel 13-13 (10-4)
SPR TOT +1.5
O 133.5 -1.5
U 133.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +1.5
O 133.5 -108 -1.5
U 133.5 -112
Projection
SPR TOT ML +3.2 O 150.4 +150 -3.2 U 150.4 -150
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 61%
7:00 PM
94 67
16-9 (9-1)
Northeastern 6-18 (2-7)
SPR TOT -5.5
O 167.5 +5.5
U 167.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -5.5
O 167.5 -265 +5.5
U 167.5 +215
Projection
SPR TOT ML -5.9 O 147.8 -213 +5.9 U 147.8 +213
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 57%
7:00 PM
54 65
Elon 13-13 (8-6)
UNC Wilmington 21-4 (12-2)
SPR TOT +8.5
O 149.5 -8.5
U 149.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +8.5
O 149.5 +320 -8.5
U 149.5 -410
Projection
SPR TOT ML +12.1 O 156.8 +497 -12.1 U 156.8 -497
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 65%
7:00 PM
79 81
Georgia St 9-17 (6-4)
James Madison 13-13 (9-3)
SPR TOT +5.5
O 144.5 -5.5
U 144.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +5.5
O 144.5 +215 -5.5
U 144.5 -265
Projection
SPR TOT ML +7.3 O 146.9 +256 -7.3 U 146.9 -256
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 55%
7:00 PM
68 66
Delaware 8-16 (4-8)
FIU 11-13 (9-5)
SPR TOT +8.5
O 147.5 -8.5
U 147.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +8.5
O 147.5 +320 -8.5
U 147.5 -410
Projection
SPR TOT ML +6.5 O 145.9 +233 -6.5 U 145.9 -233
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 54%
7:30 PM
80 70
UIC 14-12 (7-4)
Drake 12-15 (6-9)
SPR TOT -1.5
O 146.5 +1.5
U 146.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -1.5
O 146.5 -110 +1.5
U 146.5 -110
Projection
SPR TOT ML +1.4 O 149.7 +119 -1.4 U 149.7 -119
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 60%
7:30 PM
66 73
Tennessee Tech 10-16 (6-6)
Morehead St 14-12 (9-2)
SPR TOT +4.5
O 143.5 -4.5
U 143.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +4.5
O 143.5 +154 -4.5
U 143.5 -185
Projection
SPR TOT ML +7.3 O 148.5 +258 -7.3 U 148.5 -258
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 58%
8:00 PM
60 86
Evansville 6-20 (4-8)
S Illinois 12-14 (7-5)
SPR TOT +12.5
O 142.5 -12.5
U 142.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +12.5
O 142.5 +600 -12.5
U 142.5 -900
Projection
SPR TOT ML +9 O 143.8 +323 -9 U 143.8 -323
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 51%
8:00 PM
60 69
Kansas City 4-21 (3-8)
Oral Roberts 6-20 (5-7)
SPR TOT +6.5
O 150.5 -6.5
U 150.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +6.5
O 150.5 +210 -6.5
U 150.5 -258
Projection
SPR TOT ML +5 O 137.8 +190 -5 U 137.8 -190
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 57%
8:00 PM
94 98
St Thomas (MN) 20-7 (12-1)
Omaha 13-14 (8-4)
SPR TOT -4.5
O 156.5 +4.5
U 156.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -4.5
O 156.5 -205 +4.5
U 156.5 +170
Projection
SPR TOT ML -2.5 O 154.4 -138 +2.5 U 154.4 +138
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 65%
8:00 PM
69 65
Coastal 16-11 (7-4)
Louisiana 9-17 (6-7)
SPR TOT -1.5
O 132.5 +1.5
U 132.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -1.5
O 132.5 -120 +1.5
U 132.5 +100
Projection
SPR TOT ML -2.4 O 148.8 -136 +2.4 U 148.8 +136
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 58%
8:00 PM
79 95
Sacramento St 9-15 (9-2)
N Colorado 16-10 (8-3)
SPR TOT +11.5
O 164.5 -11.5
U 164.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +11.5
O 164.5 +550 -11.5
U 164.5 -800
Projection
SPR TOT ML +9.5 O 149.8 +345 -9.5 U 149.8 -345
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 60%
8:00 PM
77 68
Portland St 17-6 (9-2)
N Arizona 9-17 (8-6)
SPR TOT -6.5
O 136.5 +6.5
U 136.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -6.5
O 136.5 -340 +6.5
U 136.5 +270
Projection
SPR TOT ML -5.8 O 151.7 -212 +5.8 U 151.7 +212
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 63%
8:30 PM
84 78
South Alabama 18-7 (8-2)
Southern Miss 13-14 (8-3)
SPR TOT +1.5
O 135.5 -1.5
U 135.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +1.5
O 135.5 +105 -1.5
U 135.5 -125
Projection
SPR TOT ML -2 O 154 -130 +2 U 154 +130
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 65%
8:30 PM
56 74
SE Missouri 15-11 (9-4)
SIUE 17-9 (8-4)
SPR TOT -1.5
O 137.5 +1.5
U 137.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -1.5
O 137.5 -115 +1.5
U 137.5 -105
Projection
SPR TOT ML +5.6 O 154.6 +207 -5.6 U 154.6 -207
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 65%
8:30 PM
77 58
Little Rock 10-16 (5-4)
W Illinois 5-22 (4-8)
SPR TOT -7.5
O 141.5 +7.5
U 141.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -7.5
O 141.5 -340 +7.5
U 141.5 +270
Projection
SPR TOT ML -1.5 O 141.4 -120 +1.5 U 141.4 +120
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 52%
8:30 PM
74 75
UT Martin 19-7 (11-1)
Lindenwood 16-10 (9-3)
SPR TOT +1.5
O 145.5 -1.5
U 145.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +1.5
O 145.5 +100 -1.5
U 145.5 -120
Projection
SPR TOT ML +1 O 156.9 +114 -1 U 156.9 -114
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 65%
8:30 PM
83 66
CA Baptist 19-6 (12-0)
Southern Utah 8-17 (6-4)
SPR TOT -5.5
O 147.5 +5.5
U 147.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -5.5
O 147.5 -238 +5.5
U 147.5 +195
Projection
SPR TOT ML -7 O 151.6 -246 +7 U 151.6 +246
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 62%
8:30 PM
79 78
Louisiana Tech 14-10 (12-2)
Missouri St 13-11 (10-4)
SPR TOT +3.5
O 136.5 -3.5
U 136.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +3.5
O 136.5 +170 -3.5
U 136.5 -205
Projection
SPR TOT ML +2.6 O 152.5 +140 -2.6 U 152.5 -140
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 64%
9:00 PM
86 91
Northern Iowa 16-10 (11-3)
Belmont 23-4 (11-2)
SPR TOT +4.5
O 138.5 -4.5
U 138.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +4.5
O 138.5 +180 -4.5
U 138.5 -218
Projection
SPR TOT ML +9.7 O 159.3 +355 -9.7 U 159.3 -355
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 65%
9:00 PM
90 63
Oregon St 14-13 (10-5)
San Francisco 14-13 (10-4)
SPR TOT +8.5
O 140.5 -8.5
U 140.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +8.5
O 140.5 +330 -8.5
U 140.5 -425
Projection
SPR TOT ML +3.7 O 150.8 +160 -3.7 U 150.8 -160
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 61%
9:00 PM
69 76
Memphis 12-12 (10-3)
North Texas 14-11 (10-4)
SPR TOT -2.5
O 138.5 +2.5
U 138.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -2.5
O 138.5 -142 +2.5
U 138.5 +120
Projection
SPR TOT ML +5.1 O 151.2 +193 -5.1 U 151.2 -193
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 62%
9:00 PM
61 79
S Dakota St 11-15 (8-3)
Denver 13-14 (7-5)
SPR TOT -2.5
O 160.5 +2.5
U 160.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -2.5
O 160.5 -135 +2.5
U 160.5 +114
Projection
SPR TOT ML +5 O 148.1 +189 -5 U 148.1 -189
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 57%
9:00 PM
83 72
Weber St 13-13 (9-5)
Idaho 13-12 (7-3)
SPR TOT +5.5
O 153.5 -5.5
U 153.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +5.5
O 153.5 +205 -5.5
U 153.5 -250
Projection
SPR TOT ML +4.1 O 150.4 +170 -4.1 U 150.4 -170
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 61%
9:00 PM
75 88
Idaho St 10-16 (6-5)
E Washington 8-17 (5-3)
SPR TOT +2.5
O 147.5 -2.5
U 147.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +2.5
O 147.5 +140 -2.5
U 147.5 -166
Projection
SPR TOT ML +1.9 O 144.1 +127 -1.9 U 144.1 -127
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 51%
9:00 PM
73 71
Tennessee St 17-8 (8-2)
So Indiana 5-20 (3-9)
SPR TOT -6.5
O 147.5 +6.5
U 147.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -6.5
O 147.5 -285 +6.5
U 147.5 +230
Projection
SPR TOT ML -8.1 O 147.6 -285 +8.1 U 147.6 +285
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 56%
9:00 PM
77 81
Utah Valley 18-7 (12-0)
Utah Tech 15-11 (9-2)
SPR TOT -9.5
O 148.5 +9.5
U 148.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -9.5
O 148.5 -470 +9.5
U 148.5 +360
Projection
SPR TOT ML +0.4 O 155.9 +105 -0.4 U 155.9 -105
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 65%
9:00 PM
63 67
UT Arlington 14-10 (8-2)
Abilene Chrstn 11-13 (7-4)
SPR TOT +1.5
O 134.5 -1.5
U 134.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +1.5
O 134.5 +105 -1.5
U 134.5 -125
Projection
SPR TOT ML +0.6 O 150.9 +108 -0.6 U 150.9 -108
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 61%
9:30 PM
89 74
Hawai’i 18-5 (14-1)
Bakersfield 8-18 (6-8)
SPR TOT -13.5
O 151.5 +13.5
U 151.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -13.5
O 151.5 -1450 +13.5
U 151.5 +850
Projection
SPR TOT ML -7.8 O 151.9 -274 +7.8 U 151.9 +274
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 63%
10:00 PM
76 68
Santa Barbara 17-8 (10-2)
UC Riverside 8-18 (5-6)
SPR TOT -6.5
O 145.5 +6.5
U 145.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -6.5
O 145.5 -310 +6.5
U 145.5 +250
Projection
SPR TOT ML -5.4 O 149.8 -199 +5.4 U 149.8 +199
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 60%
10:00 PM
86 82
Fullerton 13-13 (8-3)
Long Beach St 8-17 (7-6)
SPR TOT +2.5
O 156.5 -2.5
U 156.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +2.5
O 156.5 +110 -2.5
U 156.5 -130
Projection
SPR TOT ML -0.8 O 146.4 -111 +0.8 U 146.4 +111
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 55%
10:00 PM
73 79
UC Irvine 16-9 (8-3)
Cal Poly 10-16 (5-6)
SPR TOT -5.5
O 161.5 +5.5
U 161.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -5.5
O 161.5 -258 +5.5
U 161.5 +210
Projection
SPR TOT ML -2.5 O 150.5 -138 +2.5 U 150.5 +138
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 61%
10:00 PM
51 68
UC Davis 15-10 (11-3)
UC San Diego 17-9 (7-5)
SPR TOT +5.5
O 150.5 -5.5
U 150.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +5.5
O 150.5 +210 -5.5
U 150.5 -258
Projection
SPR TOT ML +5.1 O 155.1 +193 -5.1 U 155.1 -193
Confidence
SPR 55%
TOT 65%
NBA 3
View all NBA picks → 7:30 PM
110 93
Milwaukee 23-30 (12-12)
Oklahoma City 42-14 (22-7)
SPR TOT +13.5
O 214.5 -13.5
U 214.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +13.5
O 214.5 +455 -13.5
U 214.5 -625
Projection
SPR TOT ML +15.4 O 148 +6568 -15.4 U 148 -6568
Confidence
SPR 54%
TOT 60%
9:00 PM
135 119
Portland 27-29 (16-13)
Utah 18-38 (11-18)
SPR TOT -6.5
O 236.5 +6.5
U 236.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML -6.5
O 236.5 -230 +6.5
U 236.5 +190
Projection
SPR TOT ML -2.6 O 147 -201 +2.6 U 147 +201
Confidence
SPR 52%
TOT 60%
10:00 PM
104 124
Dallas 19-35 (14-16)
Los Angeles 33-21 (15-10)
SPR TOT +6.5
O 237.5 -6.5
U 237.5
Actual
SPR TOT ML +6.5
O 237.5 +210 -6.5
U 237.5 -258
Projection
SPR TOT ML +13.4 O 147.4 +3748 -13.4 U 147.4 -3748
Confidence
SPR 53%
TOT 60%
From Our Data Desk
All guides → data analysis
Home Advantage, Measured Across 41,000 Games
We measured home win rate and margin across four sports in our history database. College basketball's home edge is enormous; MLB's is nearly zero.
our modelWe Rejected 4 of Our Last 5 Models. Here's Why That's the Point
In July 2026 we tested five model candidates against strict holdout gates. Four failed. Here's the process, the numbers, and why we're publishing the losses.
data analysisMLB Park Factors, Measured: What 1,400 Games Say About Every Ballpark
We measured run scoring in all 30 MLB parks across the 2026 season. Coors isn't even the highest — here's what actually matters for totals bettors.