Model-generated · Publicly graded

Free ML-Powered Sports Predictions

Machine-learning picks for MLB, NBA, NHL, and NCAAB — spread, total, and moneyline with a confidence rating. Every pick is graded against the final score and published, wins and losses alike.

3,428 picks graded in public

41,019 games in our history database

4 of 5 recent models rejected by our own gates

100% of results published — no removals

View the Full Ledger How the Model Works

←

Saturday, May 23, 2026

→

Confidence All Low (<60%) Medium (60-75%) High (>75%)

MLB 6

View all MLB picks

2:20 PM

3 0

Houston 21-31 (12-14)

Chicago 29-22 (18-9)

SPR TOT +1.5 O 7 -1.5 U 7

Actual

SPR TOT ML +1.5 O 7 +123 -1.5 U 7 -149

Projection

SPR TOT ML +3.9 O 9.7 +290 -3.9 U 9.7 -290

Pittsburgh 26-25 (13-13)

Toronto 24-27 (14-11)

SPR TOT -1.5 O 7.5 +1.5 U 7.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -1.5 O 7.5 -144 +1.5 U 7.5 +119

Projection

SPR TOT ML +3.5 O 8.7 +255 -3.5 U 8.7 -255

Washington 25-27 (10-16)

Atlanta 36-16 (17-8)

SPR TOT +1.5 O 8.5 -1.5 U 8.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +1.5 O 8.5 +143 -1.5 U 8.5 -173

Projection

SPR TOT ML +4.1 O 9.2 +304 -4.1 U 9.2 -304

Seattle 25-27 (14-15)

Kansas City 20-31 (13-14)

SPR TOT -1.5 O 8 +1.5 U 8

Actual

SPR TOT ML -1.5 O 8 -131 +1.5 U 8 +108

Projection

SPR TOT ML +3.2 O 8.3 +238 -3.2 U 8.3 -238

Los Angeles 31-20 (15-10)

Milwaukee 30-18 (16-9)

SPR TOT -1.5 O 8.5 +1.5 U 8.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -1.5 O 8.5 -115 +1.5 U 8.5 -105

Projection

SPR TOT ML +3.6 O 6.6 +268 -3.6 U 6.6 -268

NHL 1

View all NHL picks

7:00 PM

2 3

Montreal 48-24-10 (24-15-2)

Carolina 53-22-7 (29-10-2)

SPR TOT +1.5 O 6.5 -1.5 U 6.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +1.5 O 6.5 +170 -1.5 U 6.5 -205

Projection

SPR TOT ML +0.2 O 6.2 +319 -0.2 U 6.2 -319

NBA 1

View all NBA picks

8:00 PM

121 108

New York 53-29 (30-10)

Cleveland 52-30 (27-14)

SPR TOT +3.5 to -0.8 O 216.5 to 227 -3.5 U 216.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +3.5 to -0.8 O 216.5 to 227 +120 -3.5 U 216.5 -142

Projection

SPR TOT ML -1.7 O 227.9 -176 +1.7 U 227.9 +176

From Our Data Desk

All guides →

data analysis

Home Advantage, Measured Across 41,000 Games

We measured home win rate and margin across four sports in our history database. College basketball's home edge is enormous; MLB's is nearly zero.

our model

We Rejected 4 of Our Last 5 Models. Here's Why That's the Point

In July 2026 we tested five model candidates against strict holdout gates. Four failed. Here's the process, the numbers, and why we're publishing the losses.

data analysis

MLB Park Factors, Measured: What 1,400 Games Say About Every Ballpark

We measured run scoring in all 30 MLB parks across the 2026 season. Coors isn't even the highest — here's what actually matters for totals bettors.