Model-generated · Publicly graded

Free ML-Powered Sports Predictions

Machine-learning picks for MLB, NBA, NHL, and NCAAB — spread, total, and moneyline with a confidence rating. Every pick is graded against the final score and published, wins and losses alike.

3,434 picks graded in public

41,019 games in our history database

4 of 5 recent models rejected by our own gates

100% of results published — no removals

View the Full Ledger How the Model Works

←

Thursday, March 19, 2026

→

Confidence All Low (<60%) Medium (60-75%) High (>75%)

NBA 4

View all NBA picks

7:00 PM

111 130

Orlando 38-30 (21-12)

Charlotte 35-34 (15-17)

SPR TOT +5.5 O 225.5 -5.5 U 225.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +5.5 O 225.5 +185 -5.5 U 225.5 -225

Projection

SPR TOT ML +3.5 O 231.3 +122 -3.5 U 231.3 -122

Los Angeles 44-25 (23-12)

Miami 38-31 (23-12)

SPR TOT +3.5 O 242.5 -3.5 U 242.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +3.5 O 242.5 +124 -3.5 U 242.5 -148

Projection

SPR TOT ML +4 O 236.5 +129 -4 U 236.5 -129

Milwaukee 28-40 (16-19)

Utah 20-49 (12-22)

SPR TOT -5.5 O 227.5 +5.5 to -4 U 227.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -5.5 O 227.5 -250 +5.5 to -4 U 227.5 +205

Projection

SPR TOT ML +3.1 O 228.4 +124 -3.1 U 228.4 -124

Philadelphia 37-32 (20-16)

Sacramento 18-52 (12-24)

SPR TOT -2.5 O 228.5 +2.5 U 228.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -2.5 O 228.5 -148 +2.5 U 228.5 +124

Projection

SPR TOT ML -0.9 O 226 -158 +0.9 U 226 +158

NHL 2

View all NHL picks

9:00 PM

4 0

Florida 33-31-3 (18-14-3)

Edmonton 34-26-9 (18-11-4)

SPR TOT +1.5 O 6.5 -1.5 U 6.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +1.5 O 6.5 +136 -1.5 U 6.5 -162

Projection

SPR TOT ML +0.5 O 6.5 +113 -0.5 U 6.5 -113

Utah 35-27-6 (18-11-3)

Vegas 31-23-14 (16-11-7)

SPR TOT +1.5 O 5.5 -1.5 U 5.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +1.5 O 5.5 +114 -1.5 U 5.5 -135

Projection

SPR TOT ML +0.7 O 6.4 +173 -0.7 U 6.4 -173

From Our Data Desk

All guides →

data analysis

Home Advantage, Measured Across 41,000 Games

We measured home win rate and margin across four sports in our history database. College basketball's home edge is enormous; MLB's is nearly zero.

our model

We Rejected 4 of Our Last 5 Models. Here's Why That's the Point

In July 2026 we tested five model candidates against strict holdout gates. Four failed. Here's the process, the numbers, and why we're publishing the losses.

data analysis

MLB Park Factors, Measured: What 1,400 Games Say About Every Ballpark

We measured run scoring in all 30 MLB parks across the 2026 season. Coors isn't even the highest — here's what actually matters for totals bettors.