Model-generated · Publicly graded

Free ML-Powered Sports Predictions

Machine-learning picks for MLB, NBA, NHL, and NCAAB — spread, total, and moneyline with a confidence rating. Every pick is graded against the final score and published, wins and losses alike.

3,434 picks graded in public

41,019 games in our history database

4 of 5 recent models rejected by our own gates

100% of results published — no removals

View the Full Ledger How the Model Works

←

Sunday, March 22, 2026

→

Confidence All Low (<60%) Medium (60-75%) High (>75%)

NHL 5

View all NHL picks

12:00 PM

3 2

Winnipeg 28-29-12 (17-13-6)

New York 28-33-8 (9-17-6)

SPR TOT +1.5 O 6.5 -1.5 U 6.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +1.5 O 6.5 -105 -1.5 U 6.5 -115

Projection

SPR TOT ML +0.7 O 5.6 +263 -0.7 U 5.6 -263

Colorado 45-13-10 (23-6-5)

Washington 35-27-8 (22-11-4)

SPR TOT -1.5 O 6.5 +1.5 U 6.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -1.5 O 6.5 -162 +1.5 U 6.5 +136

Projection

SPR TOT ML +1.6 O 6.8 +186 -1.6 U 6.8 -186

Carolina 44-19-6 (25-9-2)

Pittsburgh 35-18-16 (17-9-8)

SPR TOT -1.5 O 6.5 +1.5 U 6.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -1.5 O 6.5 -142 +1.5 U 6.5 +120

Projection

SPR TOT ML +1.7 O 6.9 +548 -1.7 U 6.9 -548

Vegas 31-25-14 (16-12-7)

Dallas 43-15-11 (22-8-4)

SPR TOT +1.5 O 5.5 -1.5 U 5.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +1.5 O 5.5 +114 -1.5 U 5.5 -135

Projection

SPR TOT ML -0.2 O 6.6 -224 +0.2 U 6.6 +224

Tampa Bay 43-21-4 (20-12-0)

Calgary 28-34-7 (18-12-4)

SPR TOT -1.5 O 6.5 +1.5 U 6.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -1.5 O 6.5 -175 +1.5 U 6.5 +145

Projection

SPR TOT ML +0.3 O 6 +141 -0.3 U 6 -141

NCAAB 7

SPR TOT +8.5 to +4.4 O 146.5 to 162.8 -8.5 U 146.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +8.5 to +4.4 O 146.5 to 162.8 +300 -8.5 U 146.5 -380

Projection

SPR TOT ML +3.7 O 163.6 +204 -3.7 U 163.6 -204

7 Kentucky 22-14 (14-4)

2 Iowa State 29-7 (16-1)

SPR TOT +5.5 O 146.5 to 161.8 -5.5 to -9.6 U 146.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +5.5 O 146.5 to 161.8 +195 -5.5 to -9.6 U 146.5 -238

Projection

SPR TOT ML +8.9 O 162.6 +304 -8.9 U 162.6 -304

5 St John's 30-6 (18-2)

4 Kansas 24-11 (13-2)

SPR TOT -3.5 O 144.5 to 156.4 +3.5 to -1.5 U 144.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -3.5 O 144.5 to 156.4 -175 +3.5 to -1.5 U 144.5 +145

Projection

SPR TOT ML +0.8 O 157.2 -102 -0.8 U 157.2 +102

6 Tennessee 24-11 (14-3)

3 Virginia 30-6 (16-1)

SPR TOT -1.5 O 137.5 to 159.3 +1.5 to -6.1 U 137.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML -1.5 O 137.5 to 159.3 -115 +1.5 to -6.1 U 137.5 -105

Projection

SPR TOT ML +5.3 O 160.1 +215 -5.3 U 160.1 -215

1 Florida 27-8 (14-1)

SPR TOT +10.5 to +6.5 O 145.5 to 161.2 -10.5 U 145.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +10.5 to +6.5 O 145.5 to 161.2 +455 -10.5 U 145.5 -625

Projection

SPR TOT ML +5.8 O 162 +189 -5.8 U 162 -189

NBA 1

View all NBA picks

8:00 PM

102 92

Minnesota 43-28 (24-13)

Boston 47-23 (24-10)

SPR TOT +10.5 to +7 O 222.5 to 232.2 -10.5 U 222.5

Actual

SPR TOT ML +10.5 to +7 O 222.5 to 232.2 +340 -10.5 U 222.5 -440

Projection

SPR TOT ML +6.1 O 233.1 +154 -6.1 U 233.1 -154

From Our Data Desk

All guides →

data analysis

Home Advantage, Measured Across 41,000 Games

We measured home win rate and margin across four sports in our history database. College basketball's home edge is enormous; MLB's is nearly zero.

our model

We Rejected 4 of Our Last 5 Models. Here's Why That's the Point

In July 2026 we tested five model candidates against strict holdout gates. Four failed. Here's the process, the numbers, and why we're publishing the losses.

data analysis

MLB Park Factors, Measured: What 1,400 Games Say About Every Ballpark

We measured run scoring in all 30 MLB parks across the 2026 season. Coors isn't even the highest — here's what actually matters for totals bettors.